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Alicia Keys
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Music biz suffers post-turkey blues

12/07/2007 8:00 PM, Reuters
Geoff Mayfield


Although 2000 marked the fattest year of album sales since Nielsen SoundScan set up shop in 1991, the final year of the millennium also begat a troubling trend.

Prior to that year, volume would spike during Thanksgiving week and then build each week through Christmas. Even in years when the week after Thanksgiving was void of top 10 starts by new releases on The Billboard 200 -- as was the case in each year from 1995 to 1997 and again in 1999 -- volume for the post-turkey frame managed to eclipse the album sales clocked during the November holiday's frenzy.

But, in every year from 2000 on, the week after Thanksgiving represents a speed bump on the way to the Christmas week's peak.

Even in 2003, when the week after Thanksgiving brought a then-career-high frame of 618,000 for Alicia Keys as "The Diary of Alicia Keys" bowed at No. 1, or a year later when 368,000 made a No. 1 start for Jay-Z and Linkin Park's "Collision Course," volume lagged behind the holiday week's pace.

One cause for the shift has to be the increased focus on Black Friday sales, which finds discount-driven music sellers like Wal-Mart and Circuit City slashing some high-profile releases to as little as $5. With those kinds of sales spiking Thanksgiving-week traffic, a step down in volume becomes inevitable, especially this year, when the top debut came in at a lowly No. 50, rapper Pitbull's "The Boatlift."

Overall sales were down 12.1% from the previous week (12.26 million copies vs. 13.94 million), and down 16.9% from the same week last year (14.75 million). Year-to-date sales are down 14.5 percent from 2006.

Reuters/Billboard

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