Chart Watch (NEW)

Week Ending March 10, 2013. Songs: The Record-Setter That Isn’t #1

Chart Watch

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“Thrift Shop” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Wanz, which last week became the first song in digital history to top 300K in weekly sales eight times, breaks its own record this week, topping 300K for a ninth week. (It sold 306K copies this week.) “Thrift Shop” is #1 on Hot Digital Songs for the ninth straight week. It’s the first song to log that many weeks at #1 since the Black Eyed Peas’ “I Gotta Feeling,” which held on for 10 weeks in 2009. In addition, “Thrift Shop” jumps to #1 on the all-genre Radio Songs chart, dethroning Taylor Swift’s mass-appeal smash “I Knew You Were Trouble.,” which had been #1 for four weeks.

With all that going for it, “Thrift Shop” really should be #1 on the Hot 100 as well. Instead, it holds at #2 for the fourth week behind Baauer’s “Harlem Shake.” The reason, of course, is that Billboard altered its chart formula three weeks ago to incorporate YouTube streaming activity. “Harlem Shake” is #1 on Streaming Songs, with 48 million streams this week. That’s a little more than five times as many as second-ranked “Thrift Shop” (9.2 million streams). Still, the streaming tally for “Harlem Shake” is down from its peak. The song amassed 54 million streams last week and 98 million the week before.

Still, it’s hard not to think that the YouTube factor is being over-weighted. Consider these facts:

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“Harlem Shake” has yet to crack the 75-position Radio Songs chart. Billboard’s Gary Trust reports that “Harlem Shake” is the first #1 on the Hot 100 that (at least so far) has failed to crack the Radio Songs chart since Taylor Hicks’ “Do I Make You Proud” in July 2006. Hicks’ song was released on the heels of his coronation as that season’s American Idol champ. (No offense to Hicks, but that’s not a chart comparison that will give encouragement to anyone in Baauer’s camp.)

“Harlem Shake” lost 11% of its overall Hot 100 chart points this week, which was a bigger drop-off than “Thrift Shop,” which lost 4% of its overall points. Still, don’t expect an immediate reversal of their positions. Trust reports that “Harlem Shake” still has a two-to-one lead over “Thrift Shop” in overall points. (The margin had been about 3-1/2 to one in each of the first two weeks that “Harlem Shake” topped the Hot 100.)

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Billboard has adjusted its Hot 100 formula numerous times as developments warrant in the ever-changing music industry. I’m sure they’re monitoring the repercussions of this change closely. They no doubt would have preferred a smoother, less controversial roll-out of their new policy.

“Thrift Shop” is #1 on Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs for the ninth week. “Harlem Shake” is #1 on Dance/Electronic Songs for the fourth week. “Harlem Shake” also tops the 1 million mark in digital sales this week. (By comparison, “Thrift Shop” tops the 4.5 million mark this week.)

One area where I’m sure Macklemore & Ryan Lewis will beat Baauer is in coming up with a bigger follow-up single. The duo’s “Can’t Hold Us” (featuring Ray Dalton) leaps from #65 to #40 in its fifth week.

Trivia time: “Harlem Shake” is the first song by a male solo artist to spend its first four weeks on the Hot 100 at #1 since Elton John’s “Candle In The Wind 1997”/“Something About The Way You Look Tonight,” which spent its first 14 weeks at #1 in 1997-1998.

Five other songs have spent their first four weeks at #1: “One Sweet Day” by Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men (which spent its first 16 weeks at #1), “I’ll Be Missing You” by Puff Daddy & Faith Evans featuring 112 (which spent its first 11 weeks at #1), Carey’s “Fantasy” (which spent its first eight weeks at #1), Lady Gaga’s “Born This Way” (which spent its first six weeks at #1) and Aerosmith’s “I Don’t Want To Miss A Thing” (which spent its first four weeks at #1).

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“Stay” by Rihanna featuring Mikky Ekko rebounds from #5 to #4. The song has climbed as high as #3. The song tops the 1 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s Rihanna’s 27th million-seller (counting featured credits). That’s a tremendous total for a singer who is just 25. Sales of “Stay” jump by 12% this week. That’s a greater percentage increase than any other song in the top 10 on the Hot 100. Rihanna’s Unapologetic album rebounds from #9 to #6 on The Billboard 200.

“Suit & Tie” by Justin Timberlake featuring Jay-Z rebounds from #8 to #5 in the wake of Timberlake’s high-rated and widely-praised turn as host and musical guest on Saturday Night Live. This marks the song’s first appearance in the top five since it shot from #84 to #4 seven weeks ago. Timberlake’s third solo album, The 20/20 Experience, is a lock to debut at #1 in two weeks. First-week sales may hit 600K.

Timberlake’s “Mirrors” rebounds from #97 to #77 in its fourth week. The song has climbed as high as #24. In addition, the song holds at #1 for the second week on The Official U.K. Singles Chart. It’s Timberlake’s second hit to have multiple weeks at #1 in the U.K. Madonna’s “4 Minutes,” on which he was featured, had four weeks on top in 2008.

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Taylor Swift’s “I Knew You Were Trouble.” logs its 14th week in the top 10. Bruno Mars’ “Locked Out Of Heaven” logs its 20th week in the top 10. In both cases, the artists have remained in the top 10 for this many weeks with only other single. Swift’s 2009 smash “You Belong With Me” logged 16 weeks in the top 10. Mars’ 2010 monster “Just The Way You Are” logged 22.

Here's the low-down on this week's top 10 songs.

The Top Five: Baauer’s “Harlem Shake” holds at #1 in its fourth week on the chart. Digital sales rank: #4 (186K)…“Thrift Shop” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Wanz holds at #2 for the fourth week in its 23rd week on the chart. This is its 12th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #1 (306K)… Bruno Mars’ “When I Was Your Man” holds at #3 for the third week in its 12th week on the chart. This is its fifth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #2 (240K)…“Stay” by Rihanna featuring Mikky Ekko rebounds from #5 to #4 in its fifth week on the chart. The song has climbed as high as #3. This is its fourth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #3 (236K)…“Suit & Tie” by Justin Timberlake featuring Jay-Z rebounds from #8 to #5 in its ninth week on the chart. The song has climbed as high as #4. This is its sixth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #5 (151K).

The Second Five: Taylor Swift’s “I Knew You Were Trouble.” drops from #4 to #6 in its 21st week on the chart. This is its 14th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #12 (94K)…Drake’s “Started From The Bottom” dips from #6 to #7 in its fifth week on the chart. This is its fourth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #6 (128K)…“Scream & Shout” by will.i.am featuring Britney Spears dips from #7 to #8 its 15th week on the chart. This is its 10th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #11 (104K)…“Love Me” by Lil Wayne featuring Drake and Future rebounds from #11 to #9 in its eighth week on the chart. This is its second week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #13 (91K)…Bruno Mars’ “Locked Out Of Heaven” dips from #9 to #10 in its 23rd week on the chart. This is its 20th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #16 (83K).

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“Don’t You Worry Child” by Swedish House Mafia featuring John Martin dips from #10 to #11. The song tops the 2 million mark this week. It’s the 10thDance/Electronic song to top the 2 million mark, according to Nielsen SoundScan. It follows four hits (all collabos) by David Guetta, two by Cascada and one each by La Roux, Calvin Harris and Edward Maya & Vika Jigulina.

“Feel This Moment” by Pitbull featuring Christina Aguilera, jumps from #18 to #13 in its seventh week. It seems destined to become Pitbull’s eighth top 10 hit; Aguilera’s 10th. Digital sales rank: #7 (125K)…Imagine Dragons’ “Radioactive” jumps from #20 to #17 in its 28th week. Digital sales rank: #9 (111K). It’s likely to surpass the #15 peak of the band’s “It’s Time,” which tops the 2 million mark this week.

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“Just Give Me A Reason” by Pink featuring Nate Ruess vaults from #47 to #18 in its fourth week. Digital sales rank: #8 (122K). It’s very likely to become the third top 10 hit from P!nk’s former #1 album The Truth About Love Demi Lovato’s “Heart Attack” drops from #12 to #22 in its second week. Digital sales rank: #10 (107K).

Blake Shelton’s “Sure Be Cool If You Did” jumps from #29 to #25 in its ninth week. The song is #1 on Hot Country Songs for the third week. Miranda Lambert, who is of course Shelton’s wife, may just be the artist to bump Shelton’s hit out of the #1 spot on the country chart. Her “Mama’s Broken Heart” jumps from #7 to #2 on Hot Country Songs (and from #51 to #38 on the Hot 100).

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Lady Antebellum’s “Downtown” jumps from #50 to #42 in its fifth week… “Bad” by Wale featuring Tiara Thomas jumps from #61 to #45 in its fourth week…Fall Out Boy’s “My Songs Know What You Did In The Dark (Light Em Up)” rebounds from #55 to #47 in its fifth week. The song has climbed as high as #26.

“I Love It” by Icona Pop featuring Charli XCX jumps from #68 to #54 in its sixth week…Darius Rucker’s “Wagon Wheel” jumps from #69 to #56 in its fifth week.…Emeli Sande’s “Next To Me” jumps from #73 to #65 in its third week… “Power Trip” by J. Cole featuring Miguel jumps from #80 to #70 in its fourth week.

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Luke Bryan’s “Buzzkill” is the week’s top new entry at #74. The song is from Spring Break…Here To Party, which enters The Billboard 200 at #1. (The album will probably fall to #3 next week, behind the debuting Bon Jovi and David Bowie.)

Tamar Braxton’s “Love And War” jumps from #95 to #80 in its seventh week. The song has climbed as high as #57… “Highway Don’t Care” by Tim McGraw with Taylor Swift re-enters the chart at #84. The song has climbed as high as #59…Hadouken!’s “Levitate” jumps from #99 to #90 in its second week.

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Kelly Rowland’s “Kisses Down Low” debuts at #96. The song is from her upcoming fourth solo studio album, Talk A Good GameBrad Paisley’s “Beat This Summer” debuts at #97. The song is from the country star’s Wheelhouse, which is due April 9. Will Wheelhouse become Paisley’s first #1 album on The Billboard 200? He has amassed three #2 albums, but has yet to go all the way. Place your bets.

“Show Out” by Juicy J featuring Young Jeezy & Big Sean debuts at #98. It’s from Juicy J’s upcoming third studio album, Stay Trippy…“Karate Chop” by Future featuring Lil Wayne re-enters the chart at #99…Phillip Phillips’ “Gone, Gone, Gone” debuts at #100. The song is from his former top five album The World From The Side Of The Moon.

Kanye West’s 2007 smash “Stronger” tops the 5 million mark this week. West can be off-putting, but first-rate tracks like this are a reminder that he’s also a gifted artist.

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Carrie Underwood lands her 12th million-seller this week with “I Told You So,” a 2009 collabo with Randy Travis. This puts her in a tie with Kelly Clarkson for the most million-sellers by an American Idol contestant. Underwood’s tally includes two collaborations (“Remind Me” with Brad Paisley and “I Told You So”). Clarkson’s includes one (Jason Aldean’s “Don’t You Wanna Stay,” on which she was featured).

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