The 56th Annual Grammy Awards

Grammy Predictions: The Rock Category

Yahoo Music

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Jared Leto, who seems destined to receive an Oscar nomination for his portrayal of a transgendered character in Dallas Buyers Club, is headed for a very busy awards season. When the Grammy nominations are announced on Friday, Leto is likely to be recognized for his work with his band, Thirty Seconds To Mars. The band's album Love Lust Faith + Dreams has a good chance of landing a nomination for Best Rock Album. Its key track, "Up In The Air," is a strong candidate for Best Rock Performance.

Imagine Dragons' "Radioactive" is a sure thing to be nominated for Best Rock Performance. The rock ballad is far and away the biggest rock hit of the year. (Among all hits, it's #3.) Imagine Dragons' album, Night Visions, was released in the previous eligibility year, so it's not eligible for Best Rock Album.

Here are the likely nominees and runners-up for Best Rock Album and in the two performance categories in the rock field. I also show the likely nominees and runners-up for Best Alternative Music Album, which is in the Alternative field.

The eligibility year closed on Sept. 30. The awards will be presented on Jan. 26 at Staples Center.

Best Rock Album

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Grammy voters love Green Day, which won in this category with 2004's American Idiot and 2009's 21st Century Breakdown (and in the Alternative Music category with 1994's Dookie). The band released two albums in this eligibility period, Dos! and Tre!, but neither is likely to receive a nomination.

The likely nominees:

Fall Out Boy's Save Rock And Roll

Thirty Seconds To Mars' Love Lust Faith + Dreams

Paramore's Paramore

Black Sabbath's 13

Five Finger Death Punch's The Wrong Side Of Heaven And The Righteous Side Of Hell, Vol. 1

Also possible: Avenged Sevenfold's Hail To The King, Queens of the Stone Age's …Like Clockwork,Led Zeppelin's Celebration Day, David Bowie's The Next Day, Neil Young with Crazy Horse's Psychedelic Pill, Mumford & Sons' The Road To Red Rocks (Live), Elvis Costello and the Roots' Wise Up Ghost, Eric Clapton's Old Sock, Green Day's Dos!, Metallica's Metallica Through The Never, Bullet For My Valentine's Temper Temper, Hollywood Undead's Notes From The Underground, Bon Jovi's What About Now, Kid Rock's Rebel Soul, Kings of Leon's Mechanical Bull.

Best Rock Performance

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The award to Imagine Dragons' "Radioactive" is practically a foregone conclusion. This will be the third year in a row that a song by a rock band has won this award. Foo Fighters' "Walk" and The Black Keys' "Lonely Boy" won this award the last two years.

Thirty Second To Mars' "Up In The Air" took Best Rock Video at the VMAs, beating "Radioactive" and Vampire Weekend's "Diane Young." (The other two nominees at the VMAs were Mumford & Sons' "I Will Wait," which was nominated in this category last year, and Fall Out Boy's "My Songs Know What You Did In The Dark (Light Em Up)," which is entered in the pop field. But fear not, Fall Out Boy fans. Another of the group's songs, "The Phoenix," is eligible here.

The likely nominees:

Imagine Dragons' "Radioactive"

Paramore's "Still Into You"

Thirty Seconds To Mars' "Up In The Air"

Vampire Weekend's "Diane Young"

Fall Out Boy's "The Phoenix"

Also possible: Yeah Yeah Yeah's "Sacrilege," Panic! at the Disco featuring Lolo's "Miss Jackson," New Politics' "Harlem," Bruce Springsteen & The E Street Band's "Land Of Hope And Dreams," Avenged Sevenfold's "Hail To The King," Pearl Jam's "Sirens," Muse's "Follow Me," John Fogerty with Foo Fighters' "Fortunate Son," Led Zeppelin's "Kashmir," David Bowie's "The Stars (Are Out Tonight)," Cage The Elephant's "Come A Little Closer," The Civil Wars' "I Had Me A Girl," Elvis Costello and the Roots' "Walk Us Uptown," Paul McCartney, Dave Grohl, Krist Novoselic, Pat Smear's "Cut Me Some Slack," Megadeth's "Super Collider," Rise Against, Tom Morello, Wayne Kramer & Brian Fallon's "The Ghost Of Tom Joad," Tame Impala's "Elephant."

Best Metal Performance

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Black Sabbath, which took Best Metal Performance with 1999's "Iron Man," could be headed for a repeat victory with "God Is Dead?"

Or Rob Halford, who led Judas Priest to a win with 2009's "Dissident Aggressor," could be headed for his second win in the category. Halford is featured on Five Finger Death Punch's "Lift Me Up."

Likely nominees:

Black Sabbath's "God Is Dead?"

Five Finger Death Punch featuring Rob Halford's "Lift Me Up"

Anthrax's "T.N.T."

The Devil Wears Prada's "Martyrs"

August Burns Red's "Fault Line"

Also possible: Dream Theater's "The Enemy Inside," Killswitch Engage's "In Due Time," Ministry's "Permawar," Amon Amarth's "Deceiver Of The Gods," The Black Dahlia Murder's "Into The Everblack," Escape the Fate's "Ungrateful."

Best Alternative Music Album

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Vampire Weekend's Modern Vampires Of The City, which entered The Billboard 200 at #1 in May, spawned the VMAs-saluted "Diane Young."

Phoenix, which won Best Alternative Music Album of 2009 with Wolfgang Amadeus Phoenix, may return to the finals with Bankrupt!

The likely nominees:

Vampire Weekend's Modern Vampires Of The City

Phoenix's Bankrupt!

Nine Inch Nails' Hesitation Marks

Depeche Mode's Delta Machine

The Weeknd's Kiss Land

Also possible: Yeah Yeah Yeahs' Mosquito, Kid Cudi's Indicud, The Neighbourhood's I Love You., Arctic Monkeys' AM, Tame Impala's Lonerism, Jake Bugg's Jake Bugg, Neko Case's The Worse Things Get, The Harder I Fight, The Harder I Fight, The More I Love You, Nick Cave & the Bad Seeds' Push The Sky Away, Chvrches' The Bones Of What You Believe, Edward Sharpe And The Magnetic Zeros' Edward Sharpe And The Magnetic Zeros, The Flaming Lips' The Terror, The National's Trouble Will Find Me, MGMT's MGMT.

Who and what do you think will be nominated? Weigh in below.

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